Economists And Economic Thinkers Codexery

Robert Fogel

American economic historian and Nobel laureate known for cliometrics.

Robert Fogel

Robert William Fogel was an American economic historian who, along with Douglass North, won the 1993 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. He is best known as an advocate of cliometrics, an approach to history that emphasizes the use of quantitative methods. At his death, he was the Charles R. Walgreen Distinguished Service Professor of American Institutions and director of the Center for Population Economics at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business.

born
July 1, 1926, New York City
died
June 11, 2013, Oak Lawn, Illinois
field
Economic history, cliometrics
nationality
American
known_for
Cliometrics, Time on the Cross, Railroads and American Economic Growth

Verified Timeline

189019221926194419481949196019631964197419751981198919932013

Lore & Background

Fogel was born on July 1, 1926, in New York City, the son of Ukrainian Jewish immigrants from Odessa (1922). His brother, six years his senior, was his main intellectual influence in his youth. He graduated from Stuyvesant High School in 1944. He was educated at Cornell University, where he majored in history with an economics minor, and became president of the campus branch of American Youth for Democracy, a communist organization. After graduation in 1948, he became a professional organizer for the Communist Party, during which time he approved the expulsion of future fellow historians of slavery Eugene Genovese and George Rawick. After working eight years as a professional organizer, he rejected communism as unscientific and attended Columbia University, where he studied under George Stigler and obtained an MA in economics in 1960. He received a PhD from Johns Hopkins University in 1963 under advisor Simon Kuznets. Fogel began his research career as an assistant professor at the University of Rochester in 1960. In 1964 he moved to the University of Chicago as an associate professor. During this time he completed some of his most important works, including Time on the Cross (in collaboration with Stanley Engerman). In 1975 he left for Harvard University. In 1981 he returned to the University of Chicago, where he directed the newly created Center for Population Economics at the Booth School of Business and rose to the named chair of Charles R. Walgreen Distinguished Service Professor of American Institutions. He won the 1993 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences. Fogel married Enid Cassandra Morgan, an African-American woman, in 1949, and had two children. The couple faced significant difficulties at the time due to anti-miscegenation laws and prevalent sentiments against interracial marriages. He died on June 11, 2013, in Oak Lawn, Illinois, of a short illness, aged 86.

Reader's Guide

Fogel's significance lies in his pioneering use of cliometrics to challenge established historical narratives. His first major study, Railroads and American Economic Growth: Essays in Econometric History (1964), used quantitative methods to argue that railroads were not indispensable to U.S. economic growth. Examining the transportation of agricultural goods, Fogel compared the 1890 economy to a hypothetical 1890 economy without railroads, estimating the 'social savings' attributable to railroads at about 2.7% of 1890 GNP. His most famous and controversial work, Time on the Cross (1974), co-written with Stanley Engerman, argued that slavery was profitable for slave owners as economies of scale meant larger slave farms were more productive, per unit of labor, than northern farms. This contradicted the consensus that slavery was unprofitable and would die out. The book also claimed that slaves in the American South lived better than did many industrial workers in the North, based on plantation records, though the authors stated slaves were still exploited in ways not captured by those records. This portion created a firestorm of controversy. In 1989, Fogel published Without Consent or Contract: The Rise and Fall of American Slavery as a response to criticism, providing a moral indictment of slavery by referencing things such as the high infant mortality rate from overworked pregnant women and cruel slave hierarchies. His former colleague Deirdre McCloskey credits Fogel with 'reuniting economics and history'.

Did You Know?

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is Robert Fogel?

Robert Fogel (1926–2013) was an American economic historian who became one of the most influential voices in applying quantitative, data-driven methods to the study of the past. He shared the 1993 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences with Douglass North for that pioneering work.

What is cliometrics and how did Fogel champion it?

Cliometrics is the practice of bringing statistical tools and economic theory into historical research so that questions about the past can be tested with measurable data. Fogel is widely regarded as the field's leading advocate, arguing that historians should treat source material the way a scientist treats experimental evidence.

What is Time on the Cross and why is it famous?

Time on the Cross (1974), co-authored with Stanley Engleman, used quantitative analysis of plantation records to examine the economic structure of slavery in the antebellum South. The book sparked one of the most heated debates in academic history because it challenged long-held assumptions about the efficiency and profitability of slave labor.

Why did Robert Fogel receive the 1993 Nobel Prize?

The Nobel committee honored him and Douglass North for bringing economic theory and rigorous quantitative techniques into the analysis of economic and institutional change over time. Their work demonstrated that history could be studied with the same empirical discipline as a laboratory science.

What was Fogel's role at the University of Chicago?

At the time of his death in 2013, he held the Charles R. Walgreen Distinguished Service Professorship in American Institutions at the Booth School of Business. He also directed the Center for Population Economics, where he continued to apply quantitative methods to questions of demographic and economic history.

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